Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.7% vs Lehtera 50.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 66.9%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 53.5%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 64.1%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Colborne
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Colborne
Lehtera
Last 8: Colborne 5-3 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
2
1
Colborne
Lehtera
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
1
0
Colborne
Lehtera
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Colborne
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (960)
50.4% (2,714)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.4% (170)
55.8% (339)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
41.3% (104)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Colborne shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Colborne
Lehtera
Home
56.1% (569)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
41.4% (596)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Colborne
Lehtera
P1
50.3%
53.2%
P2
48.9%
50.6%
P3
46.7%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |