Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.8%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Colborne wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.8% vs Bonino 48.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 57.4%
Defensive zone
Colborne 52.8%
Neutral zone
Colborne 52.7%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Colborne
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Colborne
Bonino
Last 6: Colborne 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
1
0
Colborne
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Colborne
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Colborne
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
49.6% (837)
-1.0%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
50.7% (223)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
41.0% (134)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Colborne is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Colborne shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Colborne
Bonino
Home
53.9% (243)
50.7% (564)
Away
41.9% (198)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Colborne
Bonino
P1
48.3%
44.9%
P2
50.4%
50.1%
P3
47.3%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2014 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |