Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.7% vs Bonino 50.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Colborne 71.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 67.1%
Neutral zone
Colborne 51.9%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Colborne
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Colborne
Bonino
Last 10: Colborne 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
2
1
Colborne
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
2
1
Colborne
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Colborne
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (960)
50.6% (8,315)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.4% (170)
54.1% (972)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
44.6% (1,693)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Colborne shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Colborne
Bonino
Home
56.1% (569)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
41.4% (596)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Colborne
Bonino
P1
50.3%
50.6%
P2
48.9%
48.5%
P3
46.7%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |