Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Colborne 58.3%
Defensive zone
Colborne 52.6%
Neutral zone
Colborne 53.0%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Colborne
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Colborne
Stastny
Last 10: Colborne 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
5
1
Colborne
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Colborne
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Colborne
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (960)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.9%
Power Play
52.4% (170)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
52.9% (1,119)
+1.4%
On even strength, Stastny has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Colborne shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Colborne
Stastny
Home
56.1% (569)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
41.4% (596)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Colborne
Stastny
P1
50.3%
56.3%
P2
48.9%
55.4%
P3
46.7%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 17:38 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |