Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.1%). Look for Morin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.7% vs Morin 49.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 55.3%
Defensive zone
Colborne 57.8%
Neutral zone
Colborne 59.7%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Colborne
Morin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Colborne
Morin
Last 8: Colborne 3-5 Morin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Morin
1
2
Colborne
Morin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Morin
2
3
Colborne
Morin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Morin
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (960)
48.1% (108)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.4% (170)
75.0% (4)
-22.6%
On power play, Morin has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Morin shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Colborne shoots left. Morin is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Colborne
Morin
Home
56.1% (569)
45.2% (42)
Away
41.4% (596)
51.4% (70)
By Period
Colborne
Morin
P1
50.3%
45.0%
P2
48.9%
56.1%
P3
46.7%
45.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Morin
46.0%▼
49.1%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Travis Morin |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Travis Morin |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Travis Morin |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Travis Morin |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Travis Morin |