Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Killorn wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 45.6% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Killorn 70.9%
Defensive zone
Killorn 66.0%
Neutral zone
Killorn 69.2%
Result
Alex Killorn favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Killorn
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Killorn
Pavelski
Last 6: Killorn 2-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Killorn
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Killorn
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (137)
55.7% (849)
-14.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
60.0% (205)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
52.0% (152)
-52.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Killorn is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Killorn shoots left. Pavelski is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Killorn
Pavelski
Home
44.0% (75)
59.2% (622)
Away
42.3% (97)
52.6% (584)
By Period
Killorn
Pavelski
P1
47.8%
54.1%
P2
46.3%
56.4%
P3
35.7%
56.4%
OT
33.3%
65.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.5%
43.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Alex Killorn |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Alex Killorn |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |