Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.0%). Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gordon wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 71.9%
Defensive zone
Gordon 85.8%
Neutral zone
Gordon 51.3%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Gordon
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Gordon
Pavelski
Last 7: Gordon 6-1 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Gordon
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
5
0
Gordon
Pavelski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
55.0% (785)
+3.2%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
62.7% (201)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
52.2% (161)
-1.1%
On power play, Pavelski has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Gordon is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Gordon shoots right. Pavelski is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Gordon
Pavelski
Home
58.4% (586)
58.1% (580)
Away
53.6% (632)
53.8% (567)
By Period
Gordon
Pavelski
P1
55.8%
53.4%
P2
58.1%
58.6%
P3
53.3%
56.4%
OT
68.8%
36.8%
Final 5 min
57.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |