Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pirri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pirri wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 45.8% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pirri 59.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 66.3%
Neutral zone
Pirri 50.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Pirri
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Pirri
Pavelski
Last 8: Pirri 4-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pirri
3
0
Pirri
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Pirri
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pirri
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (413)
55.7% (849)
-12.6%
Power Play
63.4% (41)
60.0% (205)
+3.4%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pirri is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Pirri shoots left. Pavelski is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Pirri
Pavelski
Home
48.3% (230)
59.2% (622)
Away
41.5% (224)
52.6% (584)
By Period
Pirri
Pavelski
P1
39.2%
54.1%
P2
48.6%
56.4%
P3
45.4%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
65.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
44.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |