Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Laich wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laich 46.0% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 52.5%
Defensive zone
Laich 66.9%
Neutral zone
Laich 59.2%
Result
Brooks Laich favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Laich
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Laich
Pavelski
Last 5: Laich 2-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Laich
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laich
1
0
Laich
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Laich
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laich
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (118)
55.0% (785)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (80)
52.2% (161)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Laich is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Laich shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Laich
Pavelski
Home
46.9% (128)
58.1% (580)
Away
38.6% (70)
53.8% (567)
By Period
Laich
Pavelski
P1
35.8%
53.4%
P2
49.4%
58.6%
P3
45.0%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laich
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brooks Laich |
| Oct 14, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |