Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 48.4% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 73.7%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 78.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 75.1%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Soderberg
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Soderberg
Pavelski
Last 5: Soderberg 1-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Soderberg
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Soderberg
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (718)
55.0% (785)
-7.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
62.7% (201)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
52.2% (161)
+47.8%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Soderberg is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Soderberg shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Pavelski
Home
51.0% (406)
58.1% (580)
Away
45.0% (360)
53.8% (567)
By Period
Soderberg
Pavelski
P1
44.1%
53.4%
P2
49.4%
58.6%
P3
51.5%
56.4%
OT
47.6%
36.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |