Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McCormick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 50.0% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 69.9%
Defensive zone
McCormick 77.7%
Neutral zone
McCormick 57.5%
Result
Cody McCormick favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
McCormick
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McCormick
Pavelski
Last 5: McCormick 2-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
McCormick
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
2
1
McCormick
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (196)
55.0% (785)
-1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
62.7% (201)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
52.2% (161)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. McCormick is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (128).
McCormick shoots right. Pavelski is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
McCormick
Pavelski
Home
52.2% (161)
58.1% (580)
Away
47.4% (133)
53.8% (567)
By Period
McCormick
Pavelski
P1
48.5%
53.4%
P2
46.7%
58.6%
P3
54.0%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
41.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |