Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Penner wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 44.6% vs Pavelski 53.9% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Penner 58.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 69.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Penner
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Penner
Pavelski
Last 6: Penner 3-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Penner
2
0
Penner
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Penner
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Penner
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (151)
53.4% (682)
-12.3%
Power Play
50.0% (92)
63.7% (168)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (59)
48.1% (160)
-12.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Penner is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Penner shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Penner
Pavelski
Home
47.5% (158)
59.0% (527)
Away
37.8% (148)
49.3% (493)
By Period
Penner
Pavelski
P1
38.1%
50.8%
P2
36.2%
58.9%
P3
54.7%
53.6%
OT
27.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
42.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |