Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Khaira shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.9% vs Khaira 46.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 85.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 81.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 71.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Pavelski
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pavelski
Khaira
Last 6: Pavelski 4-2 Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Khaira
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Khaira
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khaira
0
1
Pavelski
Khaira
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
44.7% (103)
+9.3%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
50.0% (10)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
30.8% (13)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Pavelski shoots right. Khaira is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Khaira
Home
55.2% (458)
45.0% (60)
Away
51.4% (531)
42.4% (66)
By Period
Pavelski
Khaira
P1
54.0%
34.2%
P2
54.5%
38.6%
P3
50.5%
56.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |