Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.5%). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Khaira shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Khaira 51.2% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 72.9%
Defensive zone
Khaira 63.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 51.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Pavelski
Khaira
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
55.6% (81)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
50.0% (2)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
38.9% (18)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Khaira is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Khaira
Home
55.0% (391)
53.5% (43)
Away
49.7% (360)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Pavelski
Khaira
P1
50.8%
48.1%
P2
55.0%
50.0%
P3
52.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
52.5%