Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.9% vs Turris 50.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 75.0%
Defensive zone
Turris 51.7%
Neutral zone
Turris 69.7%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Pavelski
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Pavelski
Turris
Last 9: Pavelski 2-7 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Pavelski
Turris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
3
Pavelski
Turris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
3
Pavelski
Turris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
50.1% (505)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
56.8% (44)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
75.0% (4)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Pavelski is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pavelski shoots right. Turris is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Turris
Home
55.2% (458)
52.6% (274)
Away
51.4% (531)
49.1% (279)
By Period
Pavelski
Turris
P1
54.0%
53.0%
P2
54.5%
55.3%
P3
50.5%
42.8%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |