Joe Pavelski vs Matthew Lombardi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lombardi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Lombardi 48.0% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 74.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 80.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 82.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Pavelski
Lombardi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Pavelski
Lombardi
Last 8: Pavelski 5-3 Lombardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lombardi
0
2
Pavelski
Lombardi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
0
Pavelski
Lombardi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Lombardi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Lombardi
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
49.3% (489)
+4.3%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
39.6% (48)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
36.4% (33)
+14.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lombardi shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Lombardi is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Lombardi
Home
56.4% (5,998)
47.4% (304)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
47.9% (267)
By Period
Pavelski
Lombardi
P1
53.5%
49.0%
P2
55.2%
49.5%
P3
53.9%
44.0%
OT
52.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |