Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Domi 45.9% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 51.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 50.9%
Neutral zone
Domi 50.4%
Result
Max Domi favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Pavelski
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pavelski
Domi
Last 7: Pavelski 3-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Pavelski
Domi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
43.8% (345)
+9.4%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
50.0% (66)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
100.0% (1)
-44.7%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Domi is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Domi
Home
56.1% (421)
44.0% (241)
Away
53.9% (490)
46.2% (171)
By Period
Pavelski
Domi
P1
57.1%
41.7%
P2
55.8%
48.9%
P3
52.5%
43.9%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Max Domi |