Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.7%). Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Domi 53.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 52.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 57.1%
Neutral zone
Domi 53.8%
Result
Max Domi favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Pavelski
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pavelski
Domi
Last 5: Pavelski 2-3 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Pavelski
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Pavelski
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
53.8% (847)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
52.1% (96)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
57.1% (7)
+5.4%
On power play, Pavelski has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Domi is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Domi
Home
54.2% (360)
53.9% (445)
Away
52.6% (329)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Pavelski
Domi
P1
54.5%
51.4%
P2
56.7%
55.3%
P3
50.8%
54.7%
OT
30.8%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Max Domi |