Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.3% vs Domi 49.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 60.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 50.7%
Neutral zone
Domi 60.3%
Result
Max Domi favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Pavelski
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pavelski
Domi
Last 5: Pavelski 2-3 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Pavelski
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (474)
47.2% (653)
+7.2%
Power Play
51.9% (104)
57.3% (124)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
54.5% (11)
-1.8%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Pavelski shoots right. Domi is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Domi
Home
54.3% (313)
49.0% (400)
Away
53.4% (339)
48.7% (388)
By Period
Pavelski
Domi
P1
51.0%
48.6%
P2
51.9%
49.6%
P3
58.1%
48.8%
OT
62.5%
42.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | OT | 01:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Max Domi |