Joe Pavelski vs Michael Rasmussen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Rasmussen 48.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Rasmussen leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 57.6%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 72.0%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 62.4%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Last 10: Pavelski 5-5 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Pavelski
Rasmussen
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
4
Pavelski
Rasmussen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Pavelski
Rasmussen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
48.3% (1,870)
+5.3%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
53.9% (154)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
41.5% (147)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Rasmussen is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Home
56.4% (5,998)
48.4% (1,087)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
48.1% (1,084)
By Period
Pavelski
Rasmussen
P1
53.5%
47.8%
P2
55.2%
49.5%
P3
53.9%
47.0%
OT
52.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |