Joe Pavelski vs Michael Rasmussen
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Rasmussen 50.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 66.2%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 76.8%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 54.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Last 7: Pavelski 3-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Rasmussen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Pavelski
Rasmussen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
2
Pavelski
Rasmussen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
50.1% (681)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
63.5% (63)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
38.7% (75)
+5.7%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Rasmussen is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Home
55.0% (391)
50.6% (423)
Away
49.7% (360)
49.5% (396)
By Period
Pavelski
Rasmussen
P1
50.8%
50.4%
P2
55.0%
53.8%
P3
52.0%
46.5%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |