Joe Pavelski vs Michael Rasmussen
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.8% vs Rasmussen 45.8% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Rasmussen leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 58.4%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 54.0%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 57.3%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
3
Pavelski
Rasmussen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
3
Pavelski
Rasmussen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Rasmussen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (508)
44.7% (266)
+8.8%
Power Play
51.7% (118)
37.0% (27)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
55.6% (9)
-14.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Pavelski shoots right. Rasmussen is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Rasmussen
Home
54.3% (372)
42.7% (157)
Away
49.4% (324)
46.2% (145)
By Period
Pavelski
Rasmussen
P1
48.7%
40.8%
P2
57.7%
45.7%
P3
50.2%
45.8%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |