Who wins more faceoffs, Joe Pavelski or Mike Santorelli?

Joe Pavelski leads the head-to-head 5-3 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Joe Pavelski's faceoff record against Mike Santorelli?

Joe Pavelski is 5-3 against Mike Santorelli in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-1, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 2-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Joe Pavelski or Mike Santorelli?

Joe Pavelski is the predicted winner with a 78.2% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Joe Pavelski vs Mike Santorelli

Joe PavelskiR vs Mike SantorelliR

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Joe Pavelski holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pavelski 54.1% vs Santorelli 49.5% (+4.8%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Pavelski 75.5%

Defensive zone Pavelski 80.3%

Neutral zone Pavelski 79.4%

Result Joe Pavelski favored at 78.2%

78.2%

21.8%

Pavelski Santorelli

Head-to-Head Record

5 - 3 (8 meetings)

Pavelski Santorelli

Last 8: Pavelski 5-3 Santorelli

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Pavelski

Pavelski Santorelli

3 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Pavelski Santorelli

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Pavelski

Pavelski Santorelli

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Pavelski

Santorelli

Edge

Even Strength

53.6% (8,791)

48.4% (1,835)

+5.2%

Power Play

58.2% (2,122)

56.0% (298)

+2.2%

Penalty Kill

50.9% (1,138)

48.5% (132)

+2.4%

On even strength, Pavelski has a +5.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Santorelli shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).

Pavelski shoots right. Santorelli is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (722).

Home / Away

Pavelski

Santorelli

Home

56.4% (5,998)

50.4% (1,079)

Away

52.0% (6,076)

48.5% (1,199)

By Period

Pavelski

Santorelli

53.5%

51.0%

55.2%

49.7%

53.9%

47.6%

52.3%

50.0%

Final 5 min

54.4%

49.9%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Pavelski

62.0%▲

52.0%

54.2%

Santorelli

40.0%▼

46.5%

49.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Nov 14, 2013	3	14:54	Neutral	Joe Pavelski
Nov 14, 2013	1	19:48	Neutral	Mike Santorelli
Nov 7, 2013	3	00:20	Offensive	Joe Pavelski
Nov 7, 2013	1	13:12	Offensive	Joe Pavelski
Feb 13, 2011	3	09:33	Defensive	Joe Pavelski
Feb 13, 2011	3	07:09	Neutral	Joe Pavelski
Feb 13, 2011	3	04:45	Offensive	Mike Santorelli
Feb 13, 2011	2	09:07	Defensive	Mike Santorelli

Pavelski's Profile | Santorelli's Profile