Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Datsyuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.5% vs Datsyuk 53.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 60.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 73.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 72.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Last 7: Pavelski 6-1 Datsyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Datsyuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Datsyuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Datsyuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (657)
52.1% (890)
+1.5%
Power Play
60.2% (221)
60.1% (208)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (60)
55.6% (18)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Datsyuk has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Datsyuk shoots left. Pavelski is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Pavelski shoots right. Datsyuk is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Home
57.4% (470)
54.7% (576)
Away
52.6% (468)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Pavelski
Datsyuk
P1
53.4%
56.5%
P2
55.6%
48.1%
P3
55.5%
57.1%
OT
62.5%
44.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
55.0%
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |