Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 54.5%). Look for Datsyuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Datsyuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Datsyuk 54.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Datsyuk leads 28-28 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Datsyuk 63.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 51.1%
Neutral zone
Datsyuk 53.6%
Result
Pavel Datsyuk favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
28
(56 meetings)
28
28
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Last 10: Pavelski 9-1 Datsyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Datsyuk
8
16
Pavelski
Datsyuk
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
14
7
Pavelski
Datsyuk
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
5
Pavelski
Datsyuk
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
53.3% (4,336)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
58.8% (1,120)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
55.8% (505)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Datsyuk has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Datsyuk shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Datsyuk is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,157).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Home
56.4% (5,998)
55.9% (2,962)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
53.0% (3,032)
By Period
Pavelski
Datsyuk
P1
53.5%
54.1%
P2
55.2%
54.4%
P3
53.9%
54.8%
OT
52.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
54.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Oct 21, 2013 | OT | 04:53 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |