Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.6% vs Holland 45.9% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 76.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 75.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 82.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Pavelski
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pavelski
Holland
Last 6: Pavelski 4-2 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
2
Pavelski
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (480)
43.4% (196)
+7.0%
Power Play
51.5% (97)
57.1% (7)
-5.6%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Pavelski shoots right. Holland is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Holland
Home
53.1% (311)
49.2% (130)
Away
50.7% (349)
34.2% (73)
By Period
Pavelski
Holland
P1
55.4%
48.1%
P2
49.6%
39.3%
P3
51.7%
42.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |