Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Holland 48.0% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 96.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 81.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 87.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Pavelski
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Pavelski
Holland
Last 5: Pavelski 5-0 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
0
Pavelski
Holland
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
49.0% (196)
+4.2%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
50.0% (4)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
33.3% (27)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Holland is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Holland
Home
56.1% (421)
52.1% (94)
Away
53.9% (490)
43.6% (133)
By Period
Pavelski
Holland
P1
57.1%
47.6%
P2
55.8%
48.6%
P3
52.5%
45.1%
Final 5 min
60.8%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |