Joe Pavelski vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.0%). Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.3% vs Bellemare 52.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 77.2%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 70.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Pavelski
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Pavelski
Bellemare
Last 10: Pavelski 8-2 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
1
Pavelski
Bellemare
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
1
Pavelski
Bellemare
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (474)
55.5% (602)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.9% (104)
50.0% (20)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
44.6% (168)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Pavelski shoots right. Bellemare is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bellemare
Home
54.3% (313)
55.5% (389)
Away
53.4% (339)
50.6% (401)
By Period
Pavelski
Bellemare
P1
51.0%
62.9%
P2
51.9%
48.3%
P3
58.1%
50.6%
OT
62.5%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |