Joe Pavelski vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 51.7%). Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Bellemare 51.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 84.3%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 77.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 57.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Pavelski
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Pavelski
Bellemare
Last 8: Pavelski 5-3 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski
Bellemare
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Bellemare
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Bellemare
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
53.8% (695)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
46.2% (13)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
45.4% (227)
-1.0%
On power play, Pavelski has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Bellemare is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bellemare
Home
55.0% (391)
52.1% (449)
Away
49.7% (360)
51.2% (486)
By Period
Pavelski
Bellemare
P1
50.8%
54.5%
P2
55.0%
50.9%
P3
52.0%
49.8%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |