Joe Pavelski vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 51.7%). Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pavelski 52.2% vs Bellemare 51.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pavelski 84.3%
Defensive zone Bellemare 77.7%
Neutral zone Pavelski 57.4%
Result Joe Pavelski favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Pavelski Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 3 (8 meetings)
5
3
Pavelski Bellemare
Last 8: Pavelski 5-3 Bellemare

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski Bellemare
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski Bellemare
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski Bellemare
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pavelski
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
53.8% (695)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
46.2% (13)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
45.4% (227)
-1.0%
On power play, Pavelski has a +8.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Bellemare is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bellemare
Home
55.0% (391)
52.1% (449)
Away
49.7% (360)
51.2% (486)
By Period
Pavelski
Bellemare
P1
50.8%
54.5%
P2
55.0%
50.9%
P3
52.0%
49.8%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
51.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
52.5%
Bellemare
58.0%
54.5%
51.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 12, 2022 3 07:29 Offensive Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
Apr 12, 2022 3 03:15 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Apr 12, 2022 3 00:27 Defensive Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
Apr 12, 2022 2 00:18 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Apr 12, 2022 1 19:07 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Apr 12, 2022 1 08:50 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Apr 12, 2022 1 08:43 Offensive Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
Jan 15, 2022 3 07:08 Offensive Joe Pavelski