Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.8% vs Suter 43.6% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 83.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 92.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 85.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Pavelski
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Pavelski
Suter
Last 10: Pavelski 9-1 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
3
Pavelski
Suter
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
7
4
Pavelski
Suter
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (508)
41.4% (551)
+12.1%
Power Play
51.7% (118)
50.8% (59)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
53.3% (15)
-11.9%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Pavelski shoots right. Suter is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Suter
Home
54.3% (372)
43.8% (317)
Away
49.4% (324)
41.2% (308)
By Period
Pavelski
Suter
P1
48.7%
46.2%
P2
57.7%
39.2%
P3
50.2%
41.9%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Suter
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 9, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 9, 2021 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Pius Suter |