Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Suter 46.3% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 89.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 81.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 87.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Pavelski
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Pavelski
Suter
Last 10: Pavelski 6-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
7
4
Pavelski
Suter
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
8
5
Pavelski
Suter
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
46.2% (3,208)
+7.4%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
52.9% (278)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
40.3% (303)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Suter is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,403).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Suter
Home
56.4% (5,998)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Pavelski
Suter
P1
53.5%
46.6%
P2
55.2%
46.0%
P3
53.9%
46.1%
OT
52.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 9, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 9, 2021 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Pius Suter |