Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Faksa 52.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 20-17 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 85.6%
Defensive zone
Faksa 65.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 60.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Pavelski
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
17
(37 meetings)
20
17
Pavelski
Faksa
Last 10: Pavelski 8-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
14
5
Pavelski
Faksa
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
4
6
Pavelski
Faksa
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
6
Pavelski
Faksa
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
52.8% (6,681)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
57.7% (291)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
49.3% (1,372)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Faksa is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,151).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Faksa
Home
56.4% (5,998)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Pavelski
Faksa
P1
53.5%
53.0%
P2
55.2%
52.5%
P3
53.9%
52.0%
OT
52.3%
45.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |