Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 79.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 81.0%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 51.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Pavelski
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pavelski
Sheahan
Last 6: Pavelski 3-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski
Sheahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
50.7% (357)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
50.0% (8)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
40.2% (194)
+4.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Sheahan is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Sheahan
Home
55.0% (391)
44.8% (248)
Away
49.7% (360)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Pavelski
Sheahan
P1
50.8%
46.2%
P2
55.0%
50.5%
P3
52.0%
44.7%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |