Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 53 meetings). Pavelski wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 79-71 in 150 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 66.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 56.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 59.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
79
-
71
(150 meetings)
79
71
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
30
30
Pavelski
Getzlaf
60 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
29
24
Pavelski
Getzlaf
53 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
20
17
Pavelski
Getzlaf
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
49.6% (10,258)
+4.0%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
54.9% (1,381)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
44.8% (1,055)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Pavelski shoots right. Getzlaf is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,584).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Home
56.4% (5,998)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Pavelski
Getzlaf
P1
53.5%
49.2%
P2
55.2%
50.4%
P3
53.9%
49.7%
OT
52.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 28, 2018 | OT | 01:10 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 04:10 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |