Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 53.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 71.8%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 66.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.4%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Pavelski
Getzlaf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Pavelski
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
52.5% (772)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
60.8% (153)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
48.0% (100)
-3.6%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Getzlaf is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Home
55.0% (391)
56.0% (557)
Away
49.7% (360)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Pavelski
Getzlaf
P1
50.8%
52.2%
P2
55.0%
53.0%
P3
52.0%
54.9%
OT
25.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |