Joe Pavelski vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 71.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 71.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 66.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Pavelski 5-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (474)
52.1% (351)
+2.3%
Power Play
51.9% (104)
57.1% (14)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
35.9% (39)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Pavelski shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.3% (313)
50.0% (198)
Away
53.4% (339)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.0%
52.1%
P2
51.9%
48.8%
P3
58.1%
50.4%
OT
62.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |