Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Gomez 48.2% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 75.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 92.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 89.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Pavelski
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Pavelski
Gomez
Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
1
Pavelski
Gomez
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski
Gomez
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Gomez
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
47.9% (2,814)
+5.7%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
50.6% (516)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
36.5% (74)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Gomez is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,238).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Gomez
Home
56.4% (5,998)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Pavelski
Gomez
P1
53.5%
48.6%
P2
55.2%
48.2%
P3
53.9%
47.5%
OT
52.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |