Joe Pavelski vs Zack Smith

2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Pavelski holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pavelski 52.9% vs Smith 49.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor Pavelski leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Pavelski 93.9%
Defensive zone Pavelski 68.2%
Neutral zone Pavelski 74.6%
Result Joe Pavelski favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Pavelski Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 2 (10 meetings)
8
2
Pavelski Smith
Last 10: Pavelski 8-2 Smith

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
0
Pavelski Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Pavelski Smith
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pavelski
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
50.9% (666)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
70.0% (10)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
39.6% (144)
+2.1%
On power play, Smith has a +12.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Smith shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Pavelski shoots right. Smith is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Smith
Home
55.2% (458)
50.9% (405)
Away
51.4% (531)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Pavelski
Smith
P1
54.0%
47.1%
P2
54.5%
49.6%
P3
50.5%
50.4%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
53.2%
Smith
40.0%
47.0%
49.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 12, 2019 2 07:52 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Jan 12, 2019 2 00:00 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Jan 12, 2019 1 13:27 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Jan 12, 2019 1 09:00 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 1, 2018 3 14:39 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 1, 2018 3 00:00 Neutral Zack Smith
Dec 1, 2018 2 19:56 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 1, 2018 2 18:29 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 1, 2018 2 07:30 Neutral Zack Smith
Dec 1, 2018 1 14:06 Offensive Joe Pavelski