Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Thornton 51.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 86.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 80.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 62.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Cizikas
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Cizikas
Thornton
Last 9: Cizikas 3-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
6
Cizikas
Thornton
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (685)
52.7% (372)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
47.6% (63)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (198)
60.0% (5)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Cizikas shoots left. Thornton is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thornton
Home
55.1% (448)
51.2% (250)
Away
51.0% (443)
53.2% (190)
By Period
Cizikas
Thornton
P1
51.7%
56.1%
P2
53.1%
52.8%
P3
54.5%
47.4%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |