Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thorburn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thorburn wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.2% vs Thornton 52.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 59.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 58.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 51.0%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Thorburn
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Thorburn
Thornton
Last 6: Thorburn 3-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
3
1
Thorburn
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Thorburn
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Thorburn
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (113)
51.8% (577)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.7% (168)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
37.5% (8)
+2.5%
On power play, Thornton has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Thorburn is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Thorburn shoots right. Thornton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Thornton
Home
57.6% (66)
53.0% (379)
Away
53.6% (56)
52.9% (374)
By Period
Thorburn
Thornton
P1
63.6%
53.3%
P2
59.1%
50.7%
P3
46.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
59.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |