Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Steckel wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 53.4% vs Thornton 57.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 72.8%
Defensive zone
Steckel 67.3%
Neutral zone
Steckel 50.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Steckel
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Steckel
Thornton
Last 8: Steckel 4-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Steckel
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
2
0
Steckel
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Steckel
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (264)
57.0% (540)
-4.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
64.0% (111)
-30.7%
Penalty Kill
63.0% (54)
62.0% (50)
+1.0%
On power play, Thornton has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Steckel is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Steckel shoots left. Thornton is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Home / Away
Steckel
Thornton
Home
52.8% (178)
56.7% (353)
Away
56.6% (143)
60.3% (348)
By Period
Steckel
Thornton
P1
48.3%
59.3%
P2
59.8%
60.1%
P3
57.1%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
47.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
54.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |