Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.7% vs Thornton 55.5% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 87.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 72.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 72.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Malkin
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Malkin
Thornton
Last 7: Malkin 1-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Malkin
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
5
Malkin
Thornton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (922)
55.8% (704)
-9.4%
Power Play
52.7% (262)
56.7% (208)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
56.7% (67)
-34.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Malkin shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Malkin
Thornton
Home
52.4% (601)
59.0% (493)
Away
42.7% (609)
53.2% (500)
By Period
Malkin
Thornton
P1
48.8%
55.3%
P2
50.6%
55.4%
P3
41.6%
57.1%
OT
65.2%
59.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |