Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.6% vs Thornton 52.4% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 63.7%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 57.6%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 56.6%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Roslovic
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Roslovic
Thornton
Last 9: Roslovic 3-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Roslovic
Thornton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Roslovic
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (205)
52.5% (638)
-9.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.1% (35)
-7.1%
On even strength, Thornton has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Roslovic is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Roslovic shoots right. Thornton is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Thornton
Home
41.8% (79)
54.8% (341)
Away
44.6% (130)
50.6% (334)
By Period
Roslovic
Thornton
P1
44.4%
55.2%
P2
47.0%
56.5%
P3
39.4%
47.1%
Final 5 min
38.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |