Scouting Report
Jeff Halpern holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Halpern wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Halpern 57.2% vs Thornton 55.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 82.1%
Defensive zone
Halpern 69.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 68.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Halpern
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Halpern
Thornton
Last 8: Halpern 2-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Halpern
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Halpern
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Halpern
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Halpern
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (450)
55.8% (704)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
56.7% (208)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
62.9% (151)
56.7% (67)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Halpern has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Halpern is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (422).
Halpern shoots right. Thornton is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Halpern
Thornton
Home
59.9% (327)
59.0% (493)
Away
56.7% (298)
53.2% (500)
By Period
Halpern
Thornton
P1
57.8%
55.3%
P2
54.9%
55.4%
P3
62.3%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
59.3%
Final 5 min
65.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Halpern
56.0%▲
53.5%
58.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2012 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Jeff Halpern |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Halpern |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |