Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Larsson 46.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 66.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 71.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 55.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Thornton
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Thornton
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
46.7% (345)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
61.1% (18)
-11.1%
On power play, Larsson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Thornton
Larsson
Home
41.5% (106)
52.1% (167)
Away
47.8% (69)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Thornton
Larsson
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
41.0%
46.7%
P3
40.0%
42.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |