Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Tavares 59.8% (-16.6%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Thornton
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
60.9% (1,043)
-17.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.4% (278)
-10.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Thornton
Tavares
Home
41.5% (106)
63.5% (684)
Away
47.8% (69)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Thornton
Tavares
P1
50.8%
60.3%
P2
41.0%
60.4%
P3
40.0%
60.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%