Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.5% vs Toews 58.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 87.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 68.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 68.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Thornton
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Thornton
Toews
Last 10: Thornton 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Thornton
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
58.5% (775)
-2.7%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
64.9% (225)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
55.8% (120)
+0.9%
On power play, Toews has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Thornton shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Thornton
Toews
Home
59.0% (493)
63.0% (567)
Away
53.2% (500)
55.8% (570)
By Period
Thornton
Toews
P1
55.3%
59.6%
P2
55.4%
58.2%
P3
57.1%
60.7%
OT
59.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2011 | OT | 02:35 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 11, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |