Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Toews 58.4% (-15.0%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 55.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 67.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 59.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Thornton
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
58.0% (901)
-14.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
69.5% (226)
-19.5%
On power play, Toews has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Thornton
Toews
Home
41.5% (106)
59.3% (637)
Away
47.8% (69)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Thornton
Toews
P1
50.8%
61.5%
P2
41.0%
55.2%
P3
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%