Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Toews 56.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 82.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 55.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 62.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Thornton
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Thornton
Toews
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
0
Thornton
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
3
Thornton
Toews
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
5
Thornton
Toews
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
55.9% (1,143)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
65.1% (304)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
48.5% (97)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Thornton
Toews
Home
60.4% (528)
61.7% (810)
Away
52.2% (571)
52.3% (734)
By Period
Thornton
Toews
P1
58.1%
56.0%
P2
55.3%
56.9%
P3
55.0%
59.3%
OT
55.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
61.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |