Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 49.5% vs Toews 56.8% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 85.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 82.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 82.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Thornton
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Thornton
Toews
Last 6: Thornton 0-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Thornton
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Thornton
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Thornton
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (583)
55.9% (1,014)
-7.0%
Power Play
52.5% (59)
62.8% (301)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
55.9% (179)
+2.4%
On power play, Toews has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Thornton is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Thornton shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Home / Away
Thornton
Toews
Home
51.6% (341)
56.6% (709)
Away
47.0% (313)
58.0% (785)
By Period
Thornton
Toews
P1
53.9%
60.4%
P2
46.9%
57.6%
P3
47.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |